Mar 11, 2024
Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss how the magnificent 7 stocks aren’t all going up this year. Plus, reviewing what the worst time to buy stocks was and how investors would have done even if they had. Later, they explain why the last 10-15 years before retirement need growth but hedging. How Japan’s central bank might take interest rates from negative to positive, shipping container rates, inflation, Nvidia probabilities and the 15th anniversary of CNBC’s “Mark Haines Bottom” 3/10/2009.
What is the cost of carry for options
What is put call parity
Option market probabilities
What if you bought stocks at the worst time twice?
Drawdowns since March of 2000 and October of 2007
15 years since the Mark Haines bottom on CNBC 2009
Comparing stock market drawdowns 2000-2002, 2007-2009, 2018, 2022
Time in the market not timing the market
Japan interest rate probabilities
What may happen if and when Japan raises interest rates?
Japan’s currency with a rise in interest rates and implications for US Dollar and Treasuries
Magnificent 7 stocks Tesla, Apple, and Google to name a few are down for the year
Nvidia and Eli Lilly keeping the S&P 500 Index up
Shipping container rates ease but still high, will we see that filter through CPI Inflation data?
Explaining the unemployment report
Mentioned in this Episode
15 year anniversary of the Mark Haines Bottom March 10th 2009 https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1766138788881826035
Previous Week’s Podcast:
Why VIX Is Hard to Trade | SuperCore PCE High Again?| High Yield Bond Spreads | The Fed Is Not Cutting? | Semiconductors Surging (Again) https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-vix-is-hard-to-trade-supercore-pce-high-again-high/id1432836154?i=1000647836923
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com