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Broken Pie Chart


Mar 11, 2024

Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli, CEO of ZEGA Financial, discuss how the magnificent 7 stocks aren’t all going up this year. Plus, reviewing what the worst time to buy stocks was and how investors would have done even if they had. Later, they explain why the last 10-15 years before retirement need growth but hedging. How Japan’s central bank might take interest rates from negative to positive, shipping container rates, inflation, Nvidia probabilities and the 15th anniversary of CNBC’s “Mark Haines Bottom” 3/10/2009.

 

What is the cost of carry for options

What is put call parity

Option market probabilities

What if you bought stocks at the worst time twice?

Drawdowns since March of 2000 and October of 2007

15 years since the Mark Haines bottom on CNBC 2009

Comparing stock market drawdowns 2000-2002, 2007-2009, 2018, 2022

Time in the market not timing the market

Japan interest rate probabilities

What may happen if and when Japan raises interest rates?

Japan’s currency with a rise in interest rates and implications for US Dollar and Treasuries

Magnificent 7 stocks Tesla, Apple, and Google to name a few are down for the year

Nvidia and Eli Lilly keeping the S&P 500 Index up

Shipping container rates ease but still high, will we see that filter through CPI Inflation data?

Explaining the unemployment report

 

Mentioned in this Episode

15 year anniversary of the Mark Haines Bottom March 10th 2009 https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1766138788881826035

 

Previous Week’s Podcast:

 

Why VIX Is Hard to Trade | SuperCore PCE High Again?| High Yield Bond Spreads | The Fed Is Not Cutting? | Semiconductors Surging (Again)  https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/why-vix-is-hard-to-trade-supercore-pce-high-again-high/id1432836154?i=1000647836923

 

Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt

 

Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag

 

Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT

 

Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com

 

www.zegafinancial.com