Mar 22, 2020
An official bear market has occurred and now down over 20% from recent highs. The speed of the 2020 decline only took 22 days to happen. How does that compare with previous bear markets? How long does it take to recover on average? And when do they officially call recessions? Get a sense of the numbers behind previous downturns.
What is a Bear Market?
Average Time from Peak to Trough in Bear Markets?
Average Time from Trough to Peak recovery?
What is the HY Yield spread and why it matters
Does every bear market accompany a recession?
How does the speed of 2020 decline compare to other periods?
What are fundamental analysts trying to figure out on 2020 earnings?
What multiples at different earnings estimates theoretically might mean?
Intra year market lows versus final full year performance
Length of previous recessions
GDP historical growth rates
Mentioned in this Episode:
Percent change real GDP growth rates https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPGDPAI
Historical recessions from the NBER https://www.nber.org/cycles.html
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr
Contact Derek www.razorwealth.com